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| 1 | +# Emissions from Land Use Change (ELUC) |
| 2 | + |
| 3 | +Goal: provide decision makers with tools to know how their land-use choices affect CO2 fluxes in the long-term. |
| 4 | + |
| 5 | +The tools should help decisions makers with their choices: |
| 6 | +- For a geographical grid cell, identified by its latitude and longitude, what changes to the land usage can be |
| 7 | +made to reduce CO2 emissions? |
| 8 | +- What will be the long term CO2 impact of changing the land usage in a particular way? |
| 9 | + |
| 10 | +## Data |
| 11 | + |
| 12 | +### ELUC |
| 13 | + |
| 14 | +BLUE simulations with committed emissions could be used to estimate the long-term CO2 impact. |
| 15 | +Committed emissions: all the emissions that are caused by a land-use change event are attributed to the year of the event |
| 16 | +BLUE (bookkeeping of land use emissions) is a bookkeeping model that attributes carbon fluxes to land use activities. |
| 17 | +See [(BLUE: Bookkeeping of land use emissions)](https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GB004997) for more details. |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +The team in charge of the BLUE model performed such simulations with BLUE and generated the file |
| 20 | +`BLUE_LUH2-GCB2022_ELUC-committed_gridded_net_1850-2021.nc` available in |
| 21 | +[this shared folder](https://syncandshare.lrz.de/getlink/fiAuJz5VFgsEJ1E96mthCT/Data_GCB2022). |
| 22 | + |
| 23 | +### LUC |
| 24 | + |
| 25 | +The Land Use Change (LUC) data provided by the LUH2 project [(LUH2: Land Use Harmonization 2)](https://luh.umd.edu/) |
| 26 | + |
| 27 | +## Modeling |
| 28 | + |
| 29 | +### Context |
| 30 | + |
| 31 | +The context is the current usage of the land |
| 32 | + |
| 33 | +### Actions |
| 34 | + |
| 35 | +### Outcomes |
| 36 | + |
| 37 | +1. Emissions from Land Use Change (ELUC): CO2 emissions, in metric ton of carbon per hectare (tC/ha), |
| 38 | +resulting from the land use change |
| 39 | +2. Percentage of land that was changed |
| 40 | + |
| 41 | +## References |
| 42 | + |
| 43 | +ELUC data provided by the BLUE model [(BLUE: Bookkeeping of land use emissions)](https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GB004997) |
| 44 | +Land use change data provided by the LUH2 project [(LUH2: Land Use Harmonization 2)](https://luh.umd.edu/) |
| 45 | +Setup is described in Appendix C2.1 of the GCB 2022 report [(Global Carbon Budget 2022 report)](https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/14/4811/2022/#section10/) |
| 46 | +The Global Carbon Budget report assesses the global CO2 budget for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [(IPCC)](https://www.ipcc.ch/) |
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