CMU-Delphi submission 2025-09-17

Author: dshemetov

model-output/CMU-TimeSeries/2025-09-20-CMU-TimeSeries.csv

@@ -1264,121 +1264,121 @@ reference_date,target,horizon,target_end_date,location,output_type,output_type_i
 2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,13,quantile,0.95,663.2051756844843
 2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,13,quantile,0.975,964.2392630329833
 2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,13,quantile,0.99,1179.9913745432957
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.01,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.025,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.05,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.1,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.15,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.2,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.25,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.3,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.35,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.4,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.45,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.5,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.55,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.6,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.65,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.7,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.75,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.8,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.85,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.9,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.95,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.975,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.99,0
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.01,23.200880096834183
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.025,29.454286023396214
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.05,36.85580316044071
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.1,40.56884990442185
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.15,45.51100861504424
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.2,47.416349686929145
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.25,48.83096587148045
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.3,49.95414755380677
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.35,51.025194085631846
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.4,51.94703337183037
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.45,52.8525039552
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.5,54.054420550900616
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.55,55.44666894862744
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.6,56.53987086795816
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.65,57.6812446665259
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.7,59.14471698371323
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.75,60.77205444512465
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.8,64.12187047603537
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.85,64.5722621252019
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.9,67.66642884377157
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.95,72.45791754530687
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.975,77.47152051058052
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,0,2025-09-20,15,quantile,0.99,90.45867925521082
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.01,24.275715292271855
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.025,30.749103966540275
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.05,34.84292500390039
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.1,40.52562197247764
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.15,42.43115520935331
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.2,44.21809588596681
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.25,46.13363451770699
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.3,47.457366599374865
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.35,48.764994560191155
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.4,51.706244254260255
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.45,54.31619971740454
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.5,55.140910894704476
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.55,56.403784296546306
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.6,57.03213515639277
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.65,58.363214765475114
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.7,61.01974907445195
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.75,62.29876077361368
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.8,65.75458397717202
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.85,68.45316421276534
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.9,72.0199414179374
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.95,77.35561199046738
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.975,90.96735671940476
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.99,106.34112716662685
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.01,24.036814046261416
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.025,34.20759957221543
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.05,36.017007348705214
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.1,38.48682818553624
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.15,42.73022388527234
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.2,46.071868772732884
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.25,48.51331390112621
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.3,50.08426125982602
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.35,51.95923643941663
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.4,55.9065524753573
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.45,57.29409434738879
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.5,57.8968019392688
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.55,59.61805027994844
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.6,63.2105827195803
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.65,64.23159621969461
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.7,65.86569862231198
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.75,70.15185418970009
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.8,76.16159035771886
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.85,81.504746838498
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.9,87.48301489753658
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.95,91.75915956430185
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.975,110.85355128077649
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.99,135.5539687384191
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.01,23.478736114503402
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.025,32.25137507926554
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.05,36.17841268020544
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.1,40.73633532603315
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.15,47.0625499798395
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.2,50.216918811640156
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.25,50.797090039773124
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.3,54.82770006217457
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.35,55.10698836976836
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.4,56.22705197073566
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.45,57.571317408716425
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.5,62.51077082678265
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.55,64.34993299834281
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.6,65.88143033811981
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.65,69.95134795798907
-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.7,73.87851570437249
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-2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.99,155.97605530893264
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.01,40.7520388223083
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+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.35,54.52765383698971
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.4,55.06268778660249
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.45,55.632443568236376
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+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,15,quantile,0.55,56.90006925227644
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+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,1,2025-09-27,15,quantile,0.95,77.36374360998002
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+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.15,42.729772294794664
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+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.3,50.083927918612034
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.35,51.958906740180225
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.4,55.90618653947057
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.45,57.29370878962422
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.5,57.896407227020475
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.55,59.61768629977421
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.6,63.21022523788018
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.65,64.23128844709565
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.7,65.86543214053691
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.75,70.15162264941871
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.8,76.16135619712166
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.85,81.50455426099475
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.9,87.48959844918224
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.95,91.76927160938537
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.975,110.86516476722895
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,2,2025-10-04,15,quantile,0.99,135.5656485559882
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.01,23.478363975103818
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.025,32.25085723164502
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.05,36.17784608463434
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.1,40.7357431682943
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.15,47.061886094405054
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.2,50.21626818788155
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.25,50.796492477256265
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.3,54.827227406651794
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.35,55.10654730899466
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.4,56.226601194049096
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.45,57.57086098038232
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.5,62.51023620068835
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.55,64.34944034995131
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.6,65.88100791457072
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.65,69.95095289803182
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.7,73.8781846301067
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.75,77.92201800792151
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.8,80.81093101709818
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.85,89.71081226835554
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.9,92.49337972315652
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.95,104.05811056377772
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.975,131.1866243346034
+2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,3,2025-10-11,15,quantile,0.99,155.98876881328212
 2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,19,quantile,0.01,39.73470382873832
 2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,19,quantile,0.025,41.575910002727696
 2025-09-20,wk inc covid hosp,-1,2025-09-13,19,quantile,0.05,46.97086490664702