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Capstone: Predicting US Economic Growth

How much will a given local economy in the US grow or shrink this year? Since the great recession, awareness of economic trends has reached an all-time high. Corporations, governments, and families strive to make more economical investments. Given the complex range of factors contributing to a town or geography's economic growth and momentum, is it possible to predict the net growth or shrinkage of employer establishments in a county? Using historical US county-to-county population migration and historical business establishment data, this study aims to build a model for predicting the change in number of employer establishments in a given US county.

Map of Establishment Growth Rate 2005-2015

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