Merge branch 'main' into kernnetz-segmentation

PyPSA · Jan 25, 2025 · aef591a · aef591a
2 parents bf01192 + 1334fd1
commit aef591a
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diff --git a/.github/workflows/validate.yml b/.github/workflows/validate.yml
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ jobs:
     if: github.event.pull_request.head.repo.full_name == github.repository
     runs-on: self-hosted
     steps:
-    - uses: lkstrp/[email protected].4
+    - uses: lkstrp/[email protected].5
       with:
         step: run-self-hosted-validation
         env_file: environment.yaml
@@ -32,7 +32,7 @@ jobs:
     needs: run-validation
     runs-on: ubuntu-latest
     steps:
-    - uses: lkstrp/[email protected].4
+    - uses: lkstrp/[email protected].5
       with:
         step: create-comment
         snakemake_config: config/config.yaml

diff --git a/.gitignore b/.gitignore
@@ -273,3 +273,7 @@ globalenergymonitor.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Europe-Gas-Tracker-2023-03-v3
 fnb-gas.de
 raw.githubusercontent.com
 cutouts
+
+
+# custom local files
+local
diff --git a/config/config.yaml b/config/config.yaml
@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@
 
 # docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#run
 run:
-  prefix: 20241211-kernnetz-segmentation
+  prefix: 20250122-demand-scenarios
   name:
   # - CurrentPolicies
   - KN2045_Bal_v4
@@ -14,6 +14,8 @@ run:
   # - KN2045plus_LowDemand
   # - KN2045minus_WorstCase
   # - KN2045minus_SupplyFocus
+  # - KN2045_Bal_LowDemand
+  # - KN2045_Bal_HighDemand
   scenarios:
     enable: true
     manual_file: config/scenarios.manual.yaml

diff --git a/config/scenarios.manual.yaml b/config/scenarios.manual.yaml
@@ -417,7 +417,14 @@ KN2045plus_EasyRide:
     steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
     steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
     steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
-
+  sector:
+    reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
+      2020: 0.0
+      2025: 0.08
+      2030: 0.16
+      2035: 0.25
+      2040: 0.34
+      2045: 0.43
 
 KN2045plus_LowDemand:
 # Im Vergleich zu Easy Ride eher knappe EE Erzeugung
@@ -487,6 +494,14 @@ KN2045plus_LowDemand:
     steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
     steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
     steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
+  sector:
+    reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
+      2020: 0.0
+      2025: 0.08
+      2030: 0.16
+      2035: 0.25
+      2040: 0.34
+      2045: 0.43
 
 KN2045minus_WorstCase:
 # Nachfrage nach Endenergie ist höher als in den Szenarien 1-3
@@ -607,7 +622,13 @@ KN2045minus_WorstCase:
   sector:
     district_heating:
       potential: 0.1
-
+    reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
+      2020: 0.0
+      2025: 0.06
+      2030: 0.12
+      2035: 0.18
+      2040: 0.24
+      2045: 0.29
   offshore_nep_force:
     cutin_year: 2025
     cutout_year: 2035 # Hackily reduced to 2030 if delay_years: 1
@@ -709,3 +730,174 @@ KN2045minus_SupplyFocus:
     steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
     steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
     steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
+  sector:
+    reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
+      2020: 0.0
+      2025: 0.06
+      2030: 0.12
+      2035: 0.18
+      2040: 0.24
+      2045: 0.29
+
+KN2045_Bal_LowDemand:
+# Ausgewogener Mix an Technologien zur Dekarbonisierung der Sektoren
+# Breites Energieträgerportfolio in der Endenergie (Strom, Wasserstoff, synthetische Kraftstoffe)
+# Ausbau der erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erreicht politisch gesetzte Ziele
+# Importe erneuerbar erzeugter Energien auf mittlerem Niveau
+# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
+
+  iiasa_database:
+    reference_scenario: KN2045plus_LowDemand
+    fallback_reference_scenario: KN2045_Bal_v4
+  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
+
+  costs:
+    horizon: "mean"
+    NEP: 2023
+    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
+  solving:
+    constraints:
+      # boundary condition of maximum volumes
+      limits_volume_max:
+        # constrain electricity import in TWh
+        electricity_import:
+          DE:
+            2020: -20
+            2025: 0
+            2030: 0
+            2035: 40
+            2040: 80
+            2045: 125
+        electrolysis:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 5
+            2030: 45
+            2035: 130
+            2040: 215
+            2045: 300
+        h2_derivate_import:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 0
+            2030: 10
+            2035: 105
+            2040: 200
+            2045: 300
+        h2_import:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 5
+            2030: 15
+            2035: 115
+            2040: 220
+            2045: 325
+      limits_volume_min:
+        electrolysis:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 0
+            2030: 0
+            2035: 0
+            2040: 0
+            2045: 0
+      limits_capacity_min:
+        Link:
+          H2 Electrolysis:
+            DE:
+              2030: 5
+  industry:
+    steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
+    steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
+    steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
+
+  sector:
+    reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
+      2020: 0.0
+      2025: 0.08
+      2030: 0.16
+      2035: 0.25
+      2040: 0.34
+      2045: 0.43
+
+KN2045_Bal_HighDemand:
+# Ausgewogener Mix an Technologien zur Dekarbonisierung der Sektoren
+# Breites Energieträgerportfolio in der Endenergie (Strom, Wasserstoff, synthetische Kraftstoffe)
+# Ausbau der erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erreicht politisch gesetzte Ziele
+# Importe erneuerbar erzeugter Energien auf mittlerem Niveau
+# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien
+
+  iiasa_database:
+    reference_scenario: KN2045minus_SupplyFocus
+    fallback_reference_scenario: KN2045_Bal_v4
+  co2_budget_DE_source: KSG
+
+  costs:
+    horizon: "mean"
+    NEP: 2023
+    transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
+  solving:
+    constraints:
+      # boundary condition of maximum volumes
+      limits_volume_max:
+        # constrain electricity import in TWh
+        electricity_import:
+          DE:
+            2020: -20
+            2025: 0
+            2030: 0
+            2035: 40
+            2040: 80
+            2045: 125
+        electrolysis:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 5
+            2030: 45
+            2035: 130
+            2040: 215
+            2045: 300
+        h2_derivate_import:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 0
+            2030: 10
+            2035: 105
+            2040: 200
+            2045: 300
+        h2_import:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 5
+            2030: 15
+            2035: 115
+            2040: 220
+            2045: 325
+      limits_volume_min:
+        electrolysis:
+          DE:
+            2020: 0
+            2025: 0
+            2030: 0
+            2035: 0
+            2040: 0
+            2045: 0
+      limits_capacity_min:
+        Link:
+          H2 Electrolysis:
+            DE:
+              2030: 5
+  industry:
+    steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
+    steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
+    steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
+
+  sector:
+    reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor:
+      2020: 0.0
+      2025: 0.06
+      2030: 0.12
+      2035: 0.18
+      2040: 0.24
+      2045: 0.29
+
diff --git a/workflow/Snakefile b/workflow/Snakefile
@@ -386,6 +386,7 @@ use rule build_existing_heating_distribution from pypsaeur with:
 rule modify_industry_demand:
     params:
         db_name=config_provider("iiasa_database", "db_name"),
+        reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
     input:
         ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
         industrial_production_per_country_tomorrow=resources(
@@ -570,6 +571,9 @@ rule plot_ariadne_variables:
         transmission_investment_csv=RESULTS + "ariadne/transmission_investment.csv",
         trassenlaenge_csv=RESULTS + "ariadne/trassenlaenge.csv",
         Kernnetz_Investment_plot=RESULTS + "ariadne/Kernnetz_Investment_plot.png",
+        elec_trade=RESULTS + "ariadne/elec-trade-DE.png",
+        h2_trade=RESULTS + "ariadne/h2-trade-DE.png",
+        trade_balance=RESULTS + "ariadne/trade-balance-DE.png",
     log:
         RESULTS + "logs/plot_ariadne_variables.log",
     script:
@@ -673,6 +677,9 @@ rule plot_ariadne_report:
         elec_price_duration_curve=RESULTS
         + "ariadne/report/elec_price_duration_curve.png",
         elec_price_duration_hist=RESULTS + "ariadne/report/elec_price_duration_hist.png",
+        backup_capacity=RESULTS + "ariadne/report/backup_capacity.png",
+        backup_generation=RESULTS + "ariadne/report/backup_generation.png",
+        elec_prices_spatial_de=RESULTS + "ariadne/report/elec_prices_spatial_de.png",
         results=directory(RESULTS + "ariadne/report"),
         elec_transmission=directory(RESULTS + "ariadne/report/elec_transmission"),
         h2_transmission=directory(RESULTS + "ariadne/report/h2_transmission"),

diff --git a/workflow/scripts/build_scenarios.py b/workflow/scripts/build_scenarios.py
@@ -185,7 +185,8 @@ def write_to_scenario_yaml(input, output, scenarios, df):
             co2_budget_source,
         )
 
-        config[scenario]["sector"] = {}
+        if not config[scenario].get("sector"):
+            config[scenario]["sector"] = {}
 
         config[scenario]["sector"]["aviation_demand_factor"] = {}
         for year in planning_horizons: